Posted by
John David Powell on Friday, November 06, 2009 9:58:53 AM
Even before the
polls opened on Tuesday, pundits and spinners were managing
election-night expectations. The pros of politics and journalism can
read the polls as well as the rest of us. Better, in fact. They knew Republican candidates in
Virginia and in New Jersey had better-than-even chances to win their
races.
One African-American talk-show host, and an unabashed supporter of the
president, emphatically warned victories by Robert McDonnnell in
Virginia and Chris Christie in New Jersey should not be interpreted as
referendums on Barack Obama. Virginia, he pointed out, historically
elects a governor from the party not occupying the White House. Then
why bother, one wonders, to hold gubernatorial elections in Virginia?
Exit polls seemed to support
the belief that Obama’s job performance was not on the minds of voters.
In Virginia, for instance, 56 percent of the voters said Obama was not
a factor in their choices.
That’s what they said, but
other exit-poll data suggest thoughts of the president were present in
the backs of their minds. In CNN’s exit poll, 50 percent of Virginia’s
voters said they did not approve of the way President Obama is doing
his job, and 94 percent of those voters picked the Republican candidate
for governor. Forty-nine percent said they approved of Obama’s job
performance, yet 20 percent of them voted for McDonnell. That means
about 47 percent of Virginia’s voters who were split down the middle
regarding the way the Democratic president leads the nation chose the
Republican to lead their state. That’s a big number political advisers
from both parties will dig into deeper as they prepare for next
November’s important mid-term elections.
But, the spin is already in on that one, too, a full year in advance.
We’re already reminded that the party in the White House always loses
seats in Congress in the mid-terms. Once again, they’re managing our
expectations instead of addressing our concerns.
The post-election analyses
from both parties and from political observers fail to address the fact
that our country is in a funk, pure and simple. American’s feel
leaderless and confused. We cast a wary eye toward elected officials
and institutions. Every day, we see lawmakers bickering instead of
legislating; journalists inciting instead of reporting; preachers
politicking instead of pastoring; and a president campaigning instead
of leading.
And now, even after what
could be described as a voting-booth warning shot, and in spite of
overwhelming evidence that the economy is the runaway concern of our
fellow citizens, Congressional leaders act like spoiled and petulant
children in their drive to present to the president a healthcare
overhaul bill just in time for Christmas.
There’s a reason for this
inane behavior from those we look to for leadership and guidance.
Economists know it as agency theory; political scientists call it the
principal-agent problem.
In its basic form, agency
theory suggests that a corporation is a set of contracts between
resource holders. An agency relationship occurs when principals hire
agents to act on their behalf to perform certain services. In other
words, stockholders hire managers to run the company. In a republic
such as ours, voters elect individuals to represent them in government.
This theory, for our purposes
here, shows that managers do not always act in the best interests of
stockholders, and elected officials do not always act in the best
interests of their constituents. This is why corporate executives have
golden parachutes and other perks not available to lower-level
employees and stockholders. And, it explains why lawmakers often take
positions that place their political careers head of the wishes of the
people who elected them.
In the end, though, the
finger of blame points back to the people with the ultimate
responsibility: you and me, whether in our roles as stockholders or
voters. We have only ourselves to blame if we re-elect a president who
we believe is not leading, and if we re-elect a Congress (with a
29-percent approval rating) that we like less than George W. Bush (with
a 41-percent favorability rating) who’s been out of office for nearly a
year.